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Russia v Ukraine


Bjornebye
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Something, something sanctions, something NATO..

The Kremlin is feeling the pinch from its war in Ukraine so much that it's imposing a one-time windfall tax on large Russian companies and their oligarch owners.

Russia approved a draft bill to slap up to a 10% one-off windfall tax on large Russian companies, according to a Tuesday announcement by the country's finance ministry.

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This was interesting yesterday (well, to me), almost as if you don't need Ukraine to reveal equipment losses, you just look at the next US military assistance list. Kiev Post journo thinks it was a coincidence. It would be great if it isn't. And depressing for the Russians.  

 

 

asist.png

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Russia’s gross domestic product fell by 1.8% year-on-year in the first quarter of 2023, easing from the 2.7% decline in the previous quarter and revised lower from the preliminary estimate of 2.2%. Still, it marked the fourth consecutive contraction of the Russian GDP due to Western sanctions in response to Moscow’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine. The eased contraction also supported the Central Bank of Russia’s view that domestic demand and foreign trade are recovering from the shocks caused by Western sanctions, strengthening the case for interest rate hikes. The GDP contracted for mining (-4.9%), utility production (-0.8%), water supply, sewerage, and wastewater disposal (-10.8%), and activities in the field of information and communication (-5.4%). On the other hand, the economy expanded for agriculture, forestry, hunting, and fishing (3.4%) and manufacturing industries (0.3%). source: Federal State Statistics Service

 

https://tradingeconomics.com/russia/gdp-growth-annual

 

What sanctions doing?

 

They will probably have first y/y growth in Q2.

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38 minutes ago, TheHowieLama said:

 

If they have to keep manufacturing tanks and arms as quickly as they lose them you might be right.

 

And the base is low as it was the first full wartime quarter, so you probably don't need to be Nostradamus.

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On 15/06/2023 at 11:53, SasaS said:

This was interesting yesterday (well, to me), almost as if you don't need Ukraine to reveal equipment losses, you just look at the next US military assistance list. Kiev Post journo thinks it was a coincidence. It would be great if it isn't. And depressing for the Russians.  

 

 

 

 

asist.png

 

And now this, so US and Germany will be simply backfilling Ukrainian losses.  It's time to go home, Russia.

 

https://twitter.com/markito0171/status/1671164238348582915

 

Delivery plan Leopard 1A5 for  #Ukraine: 10 tanks in early July, 80 in total 2023 Next year 30 more
DM Pistorius

 

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43 minutes ago, SasaS said:

 

And now this, so US and Germany will be simply backfilling Ukrainian losses.  It's time to go home, Russia.

 

https://twitter.com/markito0171/status/1671164238348582915

 

Delivery plan Leopard 1A5 for  #Ukraine: 10 tanks in early July, 80 in total 2023 Next year 30 more
DM Pistorius

 


Vlad really screwed the pooch on this one.  Just hope he doesn’t react badly. 

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So sounds like the Russian Army shelled some of the Wagner PMC camps and now Prigozhi ia declaring war on the russian army. 


Full message of Prigozhi "declaring war on the Russian Ministry of Defence:


"PMC Wagner Commanders’ Council made a decision: the evil brought by the military leadership of the country must be stopped. They neglect the lives of soldiers. They forgot the word “justice”, and we will bring it back. Those, who destroyed today our guys, who destroyed tens, tens of thousands of lives of Russian soldiers will be punished. I’m asking: no one resist. Everyone who will try to resist, we will consider them a danger and destroy them immediately, including any checkpoints on our way. And any aviation that we see above our heads. I’m asking everyone to remain calm, do not succumb to provocations, and remain in their houses. Ideally, those along our way, do not go outside. After we finished what we started, we will return to the frontline to protect our motherland. Presidential authority, Government, Ministry of Internal Affairs, Rosgvardia, and other departments will continue operating as before. We will deal with those who destroy Russian soldiers. And we will return to the frontline.Justice in the Army will be restored. And after this, justice for the whole of Russia."

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Russia’s FSB security service has opened a criminal case for armed mutiny against Wagner Yevgeny Prigozhin after the mercenary chief declared war on the Russian military leadership, in an unprecedented escalation of infighting among Russia’s elite.

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3 minutes ago, Section_31 said:

Russia’s FSB security service has opened a criminal case for armed mutiny against Wagner Yevgeny Prigozhin after the mercenary chief declared war on the Russian military leadership, in an unprecedented escalation of infighting among Russia’s elite.

 

Risky bidness 

 

image.png

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Utilising a private mercenary army, letting them recruit from the very worst of your prison population, fail to provide them with modern weapons, treat them like cannon fodder, get your professional army to fire on them as they try to withdraw as the other side make advances, leave them with only one route out because you’ve planted land mines on all other escape routes, scapegoat the mercenary army when your badly planned war starts to go wrong. Anyone would think it’s more surprising that the mercenaries hadn’t reacted negatively to all this before now.

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