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Ne Moe Imya

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Ne Moe Imya last won the day on April 21 2017

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  1. Out of curiosity, a friend checked, and with 538's numbers (usually pretty close to the bookies) we actually still have a 21% chance of winning the league if we win both our games. Might sound unlikely, but this is Liverpool we're talking about! We always seem to have our biggest successes from unlikely positions.
  2. Ne Moe Imya

    Russia v Ukraine

    I think this is probably what Russia is hoping for at this point. That's why they're throwing entire BTGs of equipment at river crossings that are, in the big picture, not hugely significant and certainly not worth the cost. But if you are trying to look at this like Putin (who doesn't value the lives of his soldiers at all), then you would pay almost any military price to be able to encircle Severodonetsk and then push the line back to the official borders of the Luhansk and Donetsk Oblasts. Then politically you can say "well, we did it, we liberated the Donbas" and though everyone knows it's made up, you can at least sort of claim victory and try to go home. The problem is twofold: 1) the Russian propaganda machine has been steadily increasing in its stridency and call for the death/deportation/imprisonment of pretty much any Ukrainian who doesn't accept Russian rule, and 2) the Ukrainian forces are certainly not going to just accept that result. The first one is possible to overcome, not least because Putin totally controls that propaganda machine, so if he tells them to announce that he's the victor and got everything he wants, they'll have no choice but to instantly change their tune and say what he wants them to. People will get psychological whiplash, but they've done it before and will do it again. The second is a much bigger problem. The long-term economic prospects for Russia are absolutely terrifying to the regime, and the military outlook can't be much better. It's so, so short-term thinking, throwing 100 tanks/APCs away to get one river crossing. Crazy. They simply don't have the military forces to be wasting them for political ends instead of military ones. With Ukraine's military becoming better- and better-equipped as time goes on, with NATO training and equipment, and Russia's facing the opposite, the decision to push for the Donetsk/Luhansk Oblast borders is going to look pretty foolish in 6 months.
  3. Ne Moe Imya

    Naby Keita

    I actually think it's very difficult to tell how good he is. We're so used to defining a "good" midfielder by whether or not he scores/assists goals (attacking midfielders) or lots of tackles/interceptions (defensive midfielders), but Liverpool's #8's really don't play that way. Wijnaldum was a great example - virtually invisible in most major statistical categories, but hugely important to the way we play and you could see a visible difference in our results when he wasn't in the side. Keita is similar - except for Virgil, he has the highest winning percentage of any player in our side, meaning he's clearly vital to us playing well and getting results. However, he himself doesn't seem to be doing anything, at least not on first watch, or given a glance at the stat sheet. But he's clearly doing something, or Klopp wouldn't keep picking him and we wouldn't keep winning games with him in the midfield.
  4. Ne Moe Imya

    Russia v Ukraine

    This is an absolutely amazing piece of logic right here. I'm just imagining someone in 1942 saying "I want the war to stop as quickly as possible because that's the way Jewish lives will be saved."
  5. Ne Moe Imya

    Summer 2022 Transfer Thread

    Salah has been really odd about his demands. He keeps saying things like "it's not only about money," but, like, what else could it possibly be? We're the best team in the world, we have the best manager in the world, great fans, we're in the race for the quadruple ...? There's not a better bet in terms of overall "sporting project" on earth! It's almost as if it really is all about the money, he just doesn't want to admit it.
  6. Ne Moe Imya

    Russia v Ukraine

    I wish someone would translate more of what's being said on Russian state TV, which as a reminder is fully scripted by the Kremlin, for the English-speaking world. Every time I watch it I am struck by how the "Ukraine should give in and give Russia part of their country to make peace" crowd doesn't understand Russia's point of view at all!
  7. Ne Moe Imya

    Summer 2022 Transfer Thread

    Au contraire, Salah has shown that the best way to ride those donkeys is in a red shirt!
  8. Ne Moe Imya

    Tottenham (H) - Sat 7th May 2022 (7:45pm)

    Don't know why, but this is the one game on our calendar when looking at the last 8 games that I thought we could drop points. I know we're better than they are, but it just has that feeling of a game that could be determined by a lucky bounce or a contentious penalty or something. But who knows? For some reason I have a feeling we will draw, but City will too and it'll be as you were going into next weekend.
  9. Ne Moe Imya

    Donald Trump

    Nothing will ever top the time when he was asked by a journalist for a Christian newspaper what he asked God for forgiveness for and Trump replied that he didn't ask for forgiveness because he didn't really need to. Which is basically the exact opposite of Christianity, the religion that is famously built entirely on the idea that all people are sinners and in need of salvation, which you can't earn by being a good person but only by repenting of your sins and asking for them to be paid for by Jesus.
  10. Ne Moe Imya

    Rise of the far right in Europe.

    One minor bit of optimism is that in Europe at least, a lot of the far right has been underwritten financially by Russia. Which, given the economic situation there and the fact that sanctions are going to start to really bite in a few months when they run out of foreign currency, is probably not going to continue in the future, at least not at the same level.
  11. Ne Moe Imya

    Everton (H) - Sun 24th Apr 2022 (4:30pm)

    Absolutely GUTTED that Everton managed to get their pass completion up over 50% in the closing minutes of the match. At halftime they were at 41% and I thought we'd finally get a team completing less than half their passes. Doesn't happen often.
  12. Ne Moe Imya

    *Shakes head* Everton again.

    Up to 19.8% chance that Liverpool win the title AND Everton are relegated after today!
  13. Ne Moe Imya

    Alisson Becker

    If his statue isn't that moment of him collapsing to the pitch on his knees, I will burn Anfield to the ground.
  14. Ne Moe Imya

    Everton (H) - Sun 24th Apr 2022 (4:30pm)

    Still think this is going to end 2-0. Matip 54, Diaz 88.
  15. Ne Moe Imya

    *Shakes head* Everton again.

    Just updating my previous post: Odds that Liverpool win the title AND Everton are relegated: 11% And a bonus: Odds that Liverpool win the quadruple AND Everton are relegated: 3% Yes, you read that right. As of right now, there is a 3% chance you are living in a universe where Liverpool win the quadruple and Everton are relegated in the same season!