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The Season So Far: Out with the old, in with the Nunez! - by John Brennan

‘The best goal difference in the League. Libpool, Top of the League Libpool Libpool, Top of the League. Don’t believe the Table? Listen to the Fume. It’s a sure sign we’re back.’

 

Thus I ended my last piece on the 10th of December, post Palace. A little over two weeks on, it’s a case of bis repetita. 19 league games in and we’ve managed to win 12, losing just the one. (We’ll get to the draws anon). In the meantime we’ve also progressed comprehensively to the semi-final of the League Cup. There have been a couple of blots – the game in Belgium (and even at that it was a dead rubber) and the one that could rankle for a while, United at home. 

 

All things told, we should be delighted with where we are as 2023 draws to a close: top of the League on Boxing Day, on 42 points half-way through, thereby looking at 80+ for the season; two games from Wembley; comfortably into the last 16 in Europe’s second competition; a third-round FA Cup tie to look forward to; the League’s second-best attack and joint-best defence; competition for places everywhere; players to come back in.

 

Is everything rosy in the garden? Of course not. The lads on the podcast have consistently spoken about the ‘Eye Test’ (as GH would say, ‘‘there’s no ‘eye’ in ‘team’’.) And they are right. As much as the back four have been astounding this season, the ‘attacking five’ just doesn’t look right. The numbers belie this, of course, but suffice it to say, something is not right.

 

We are no doubt influenced by previous seasons, where that ‘attacking five’ of (delete as appropriate) Henderson, Wijnaldum, Sadio, Bobby, Mo (with others providing clincical back-up) served up consistent brilliance, game-in, game-out. Not to mention the back-up provided from the flanks by Trent and Andy. The Reds are not there yet – and indeed, may never be. But they don’t have to be. They just have to be a bit better. And that will come as they play together more and more.

 

Everything seems a little turgid at times, no more so than against United. Wrong balls being played, lack of width, players getting in the way of each other. Trent being so narrow probably doesn’t help with this, but then you take the rough with the smooth, as his pass for Mo against Arsenal underlines. Paul has consistently said that Klopp has an unrivalled record in turning good players into world-class ones – there should be little doubt that given time, he will do this with this Nunez, Diaz and Gakpo.

 

In as much as something is not right – it seems to be an axiom at this stage – the numbers stack up very favourably. 28 games in and the front five have already racked up 45 goals between them, averaging over 1.6 goals a game, this despite a number of injuries / absences for three of them. Over a 55-game season – I think we’ll play closer to 60 – that equates to 88 goals. The team – because others are chipping in too! – is on course for 120+ goals, based on 55 games, I’d say. That firepower should translate into success.

 

Hopefully Nunez’s goal against Burnley can kickstart his season and having Diogo back is going to be massive, he’s the best finisher at the Club. They’ll be all the more important as Mo will be missing because of international duty, although even then, the planets seem to be aligning as it coincides with FA Cup games and our winter break, mostly. 

 

He’ll not be a bigger loss than Mo, obviously, but Endo being away is a massive loss. He has really come into his own in the last six weeks – given Klopp’s record of easing players in, should we ever really doubted him? He’s done two things – he’s protected our centre-backs and allowed other players ahead of him to play. Virgil hasn’t needed Endo to make him look good this season as he’s been imperious in his own right, but having that protection certainly hasn’t done any harm. He does the simple stuff well and is a massive upgrade on 2022-23 Fabinho. In the second half of the season, his presence in there will hopefully allow us to play Macca further forward and unlock the front three even more.

 

Before finishing on a positive note (I know, I can’t believe it either) back to those pesky draws. Six games out of 19, which straight away makes you think ’12 points dropped’. Well, the only reason they are so frustrating is that we are in a Title race! And of the six – Chelsea, Brighton, Luton, City, United, Arsenal – I think the only one which really remains stuck in the gut is the United game, because of how bad they are. Chelsea was this team’s first competitive game together, Brighton could have gone either way, Luton was a good point given how abject The Reds were on the day, City away is always a good point and Arsenal was a fair result. Not to forget the ‘steal’ against Newcastle. All told, 42 points half-way through is level par, maybe even a couple under.

 

So, as we go into 2024, we’ve a lot to be thankful for and positive about. The best keeper in the world and a back-up who is getting 15-20 games a season. Virgil back to his imperious best. A fabulous new find in Quansah. Joe Gomez having the season of his life. Kostas providing more than satisfactory back-up to Andy – let’s hope they’re both back soon. Trent coming into his own. A new midfield taking shape – despite some ups and downs, which are to be expected. Harvey showing his huge potential. Five strikers who while still not firing on all cylinders continue to produce the goods, one way or another. Competition for places, expert use of the squad by management, rivals from last season falling off.

 

2023 started off with a 3-1 defeat away at Brentford. It’s ended on a brighter note. And I think it’s safe to say that 2024 will be ‘interesting’.  Hold on tight.

 

Happy New Year, Reds!

 

John Brennan


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Nice half-term report. 87+ points for the title IMO. We just need 45 points in the second half. That looks a tall order but we should have 43/45 points from the opening 19 games so it isn't impossible. I see there is no reference to the asterisk game above. This needs mentioning every time the title race is discussed. We should be frightening Arsenal fans or "Gooners" with invincible talk right now. 

 

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Nice one John.

Think it's fair to say that in a lot of games we lack intensity and persist with the chuckle brothers, 'to me, to you on the halfway line usually culminating in a pass back to Ali. But as we sit in our healthy position in all competitions it sounds tetchy to criticise. Once that intensity ramps up I think we smash everyone. Going to be a good year.

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This will be a much better season than expected for us but we should not be thinking too much about the title. Our slender lead is based on a draw at City snatched from the jaws of defeat. They don't usually drop too many points in the second half of the season. We will probably have to beat them at home and match them win for win for the most part of the season and it's too early for this team to show that kind of consistency.

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On 28/12/2023 at 19:18, dave u said:

We do usually kick on in the second half of the season. 

 

Mind you, we're usually proper shit in January so we need to get through that unscathed.

Yea, agree with that Dave but surely Jurgen can't be happy with the lack of intensity? Having said that, it may be part of his plan.

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We’re doing well. I worry that whether through total incompetence or absolute corruption (choose your side) we will be denied important goals that could cost us more points. We’ve already lost at least 4, and anyone that thinks it can’t be repeated, is looking at the league with rose tinted spectacles.

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I expected us to challenge for the league, why would I not?

 

In the second half of last season only City were better than us.

 

We were always going to build on that and we have made improvements especially in midfield before this season.


Its no surprise we are where we are now, its where our quality should put us, in fact we should have been on 45 + points already and actually opened a little gap to the rest. 

 

 

 

IMG_9670.jpeg

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On 29/12/2023 at 12:28, SasaS said:

Our slender lead is based on a draw at City snatched from the jaws of defeat. 

 

By the same logic, our slender lead would be not so slender if Darren England hadn't deliberately fucked us at Spurs.

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4 minutes ago, dave u said:

 

By the same logic, our slender lead would be not so slender if Darren England hadn't deliberately fucked us at Spurs.

 

OK, that too.

 

But several other games in which we took maximum points weren't exactly convincing wins, so at the moment we look more to be accidental league leaders than like a team mounting a "proper" title challenge. So I don't know how far current form can take us.  

 

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We've only lost once and that shouldn't even count. Our form hasn't been convincing, but tell me who has been convincing? 

 

We're definitely mounting a proper challenge, its halfway through the season and we have the best defensive record, the best goal difference, the most points and by rights should still be unbeaten.

 

I agree that it hasn't looked convincing and we're nowhere near the level I think we can be, but we deserve to be where we are.

 

We do need to improve if we're going to stay there though, absolutely no question about that.

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 Well, there is one thing, we do have only one defeat and in, to put it diplommatically, highly controversial circumstances but on the other hand, we also have not beaten any of the traditional top six, we beat Newcastle with a considerable slice of good fortune away and Villa at home some time before they went on their purple patch. We also didn't beat Brighton either if I am not mistaken. So most of our wins came against teams that are not considered to be challenging for top half (I don't know how to classify the West Ham win as they are fairly unpredictable and inconsistent) or expected to be much good (nice change from last season obviously). So even if I allow that it may be rather random and arbitrary who I consider "good", this is still bugging me, with respect to a title challenge.   

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It clearly isn't going to take a great team to win the league this year, 85 points will give you a chance. Our unconvincing wins possibly  balanced out by being utterly stiffed by bent referees in a few games. I still think City win the league by 6-9 points, but if anyone is going to give them something to think about in April/May it will be us.

 

 

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1 hour ago, Jairzinho said:

It clearly isn't going to take a great team to win the league this year, 85 points will give you a chance. Our unconvincing wins possibly  balanced out by being utterly stiffed by bent referees in a few games. I still think City win the league by 6-9 points, but if anyone is going to give them something to think about in April/May it will be us.

 

 

If we get just 40 points in the second half of the season, then to beat our total of 82 points by 9 points then City would need to get 51 points from 57 available. Maybe they do but they haven't shown that form since 2018/19. 

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14 minutes ago, Razoray said:

If we get just 40 points in the second half of the season, then to beat our total of 82 points by 9 points then City would need to get 51 points from 57 available. Maybe they do but they haven't shown that form since 2018/19. 

 

They're more than capable of going on a big run though. Teams lose hope against them more than they do against anyone else. 

 

Hopefully they get a horrible Champions League tie to disrupt things. 

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Thay have a run of seven games before they properly get going again in the CL, of which five they can more or less breeze through and two are more challenging, at least on paper. If they win all seven, we will know more about their form.

 

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