The Woolster

I've been looking at some of these polls, and the headline numbers that we see strip out the undecideds. When the undecideds are included the gap between the Tories and Labour is at least a couple of % points closer than the headlines. The undecideds are still fairly large, ranging from about 8% to 15%. Now not all of the undecideds will end up voting, but I believe that undecideds that do vote tend to end up voting Labour, I think that is partly because it is a greater % of women who leave their decision late, and they tend to vote Labour. But also, my guess is that these undecideds are more likely to be tactical voters, so I am hopeful that there will be a closing of that gap. I think the pool are also underweight the youth vote, who we know tend to vote Labour. Including those with the undecideds, I think it could be a couple of % points closer. I thin kwe do need a swing of a couple of points on the headline numbers though, there is a bout a 10% gap, and I think we need to get to about 8% for these missing voters to get us to a hung parliament. With regards to the latest Survation, its got some funky stuff going on with London. London tends to vote Labour, the other polls that I have looked, including the previous Survation poll, at have Labour leading in London as expected, but this latest one has the Tories on 40.9% and Labour on 36.4%. The Survation poll before was 28.5% Conservative, 39.9% Labour. The poll is based off 98 people in London, which is over 10% of the amount polled, so I am not sure if I trust that this latest poll is actually representative.

I dunno, old people more likely to have postal vote?

They may be shite, but they'll get Brexit done...

Seems a bit odd that they were so against him, considering the majority he had in 2017. I know Raab has had a similar issue and is in trouble, but he is in a heavy remain area, just checked and West Suffolk was 63% Leave in the referendum. Was the area it was held in more left leaning than the rest of the constituency or something? I know he has made a massive knob of himself since the Tory leadership campaign, but presume there is no chance of him actually losing, is there?

You can see from the poll that BXP were down 1%. They haven't dropped out of all of the seats, so, where they are standing, there can still be some drift towards the Tories. Also, the polls don't count the undecided, as some of them decide thr closer we get, some will decide Tory. I think I saw its something like 20-30% that decide to vote Conservative in the end, so much less than Labour, but could still add to an uptick.

YO!

Was gonna go Boris Johnson, but with my powers, was concerned that may lead to a Tory sympathy vote

I've got a 30 point lead with only a month remaining, think I take a risk with my next pick... I'll replace Clive James with Nigel Farage!

From when I first entered in 2016 I've won each year since...

Another one for me... Busy day for obit writers!

https://www.independent.co.uk/life-style/gadgets-and-tech/news/boris-johnson-nhs-trade-deal-brexit-trump-general-election-corbyn-reddit-a9219841.html

I saw it on Twitter, but I can't access Twitter on my work PC and not allowed to check my phone at my desk...

Apparently its been available on Reddit for the past month.

Seeing as we are talking Bournemouth players, I quite like that Harry Wilson, could be a good player!

No one cheats the Grim Reaper, I'll, I mean he'll get you eventually...

I replace Leah Bracknell with Jimmy Carter

They do know that I am very good at this game, but they're not on it, yet... Waiting for them to get a wiki page!

No chance! Thankfully, he doesn't really have a chance, but you never know, next time they might give him a closer or even safe seat, and I don't want to have to deal with the guilt by association!

Mate of mine has been nominated to run for parliament. For the Tories... I congratulated him, and told him I hope he loses!

Let's hope that Gay wont be Late Late for the funeral https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-europe-50289744 I had him at one point in my 2017 list. I still need to replace Leah Bracknell!

https://www.theguardian.com/music/2019/sep/19/dave-wins-mercury-prize-2019-album-psychodrama Andy Robertson, Dave, whether its football or rap, I know talent when I see it...

This is how I have everyone's list at the moment

I replace Valery Harper with Larry King

I just checked, and Prince Phillip had his car crash on 17 Jan, deadline to enter the comp was 18 Jan...

Apart from a Mugabe replacement, yes. You posted it on this thread