So with 10 games left and 30 points to play for we can achieve 72 points if we win all our games left.
21/3: QPR away
24/3: Wigan home
01/04: Newcastle away
07/04: Aston Villa home
10/04: Blackburn away
14/04: Fulham home*
21/04: West Brom home
28/04: Norwich away
05/05: Chelsea home*
13/03: Swansea away
* could be moved because of the FA Cup.
I honestly have to say I will be full of confidence ahead of all of these games that we will grab 3 points and if we do we will get 72 points and there is no way 72 points will not secure 4th.
We can even afford to lose one game or not take max points in two of these games and still be in for a massive shout for 4th.
Statistically 68 points should be enough to achieve exactly that and those who think that is impossible looking at this fixture list should just stop following football.
Lets have a look at the points needed to secure 4th since the PL became a 20 team league.
Points needed to secure 4th:
10/11: 63 points
09/10: 68 points
08/09: 64 points
07/08: 66 points
06/07: 61 points
05/06: 66 points
04/05: 59 points
03/04: 57 points
02/03: 65 points
01/02: 67 points
00/01: 67 points
99/00: 66 points
98/99: 58 points
97/98: 60 points
96/97: 62 points
95/96: 64 points
So until its mathmatically impossible to achieve 68 points I see no reason to give up on 4th as these stats are not something to dismiss.
Believe.