I made a visual comparison, shifting Italian data forward 14 days to overlay it on the UK's, and showing projections based on March 16-21 trends for both. Italy deviates massively from initial trend - but only after lockdown. Lockdown started on March 8th (+14=22nd), i.e TODAY. https://t.co/lwBF2WLrLV pic.twitter.com/6IQVRZEkts

— Julia Steinberger (@JKSteinberger) March 22, 2020