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The Steve Kean management system.


Guest SpiderLucas
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Guest SpiderLucas

A few managers have said in the past they look at fixtures in sets and try and set a point’s total they expect to get from the certain set of games regardless of how they come.

 

Everton (A), United (H) and Norwich (H) I’d probably have taken 5 points before the games and if they had come about with an Everton draw, United draw and Norwich win I couldn’t see many complaints from fans.

 

So taking this approach and splitting all the games into groups of five (with the first 2 groups already done), see what points you’d like from each set of games (not the result just an overall point total) and then see what you’ve got overall.

 

Sunderland (H)

Arsenal (A)

Bolton Wanderers (H)

Stoke City (A)

Tottenham Hotspur (A)

Section 1 - 7 POINTS

 

Wolverhampton Wanderers (H)

Everton (A)

Manchester United (H)

Norwich City (H)

West Bromwich Albion (A)

Section 2 - 11 POINTS

 

Swansea City (H)

Chelsea (A)

Manchester City (H)

Fulham (A)

Queens Park Rangers (H)

Section 3 - 10 POINTS

 

Aston Villa (A)

Wigan Athletic (A)

Blackburn Rovers (H)

Newcastle United (H)

Manchester City (A)

Section 4 - 10 POINTS

 

Stoke City (H)

Bolton Wanderers (A)

Wolverhampton Wanderers (A)

Tottenham Hotspur (H)

Manchester United (A)

Section 5 - 10 POINTS

 

Everton (H)

Arsenal (H)

Sunderland (A)

Queens Park Rangers (A)

Wigan Athletic (H)

Section 6 - 8 POINTS

 

Newcastle United (A)

Aston Villa (H)

Blackburn Rovers (A)

Fulham (H)

West Bromwich Albion (H)

Section 7 - 11 POINTS

 

Norwich City (A)

Chelsea (H)

Swansea City (A)

Section 8 - 6 POINTS

 

Total Points – 73.

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Guest SpiderLucas
Be better if you put your neck on the line and pridict the results

 

That then escapes the whole point of the system. I’m trying to say that I just want those points and don’t know/care how they come about.

 

Norwich City (A)

Chelsea (H)

Swansea City (A)

Section 8 - 6 POINTS

 

We could beat Norwich and Swansea and lost to Chelsea, or we could lose to Swansea away but beat Chelsea and Norwich either way you walk out with the same points.

 

Yet people would moan more about the latter.

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I prefer to analyse the results against their previous season equivalent game.

 

On this system we are 10 points better off over the 9 games (excluding Norwich) which seems very positive.

 

I do that and what SpiderLucas does. I also compare averages against prior baselines.

 

20111030-ldgi-315kb.jpg

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I do that and what SpiderLucas does. I also compare averages against prior baselines.

 

 

So if the current trend continues we will finish 5th. 7 pts off spurs and 3 off chelsea. Interesting.....

 

As someone already pointed out our final third of fixtures couldnt be better. We need to finish strong and I think we will. On the flip side the so called lesser sides around that stage are fighting for their lives so not a foregone conclusion.

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