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Trump is going to destroy Clinton (even against the odds)

She is the prefect candidate with enough history that lets sink

 

Trump as president - imagine that in 2017. Can't wait for him t have a go at China (and fail)

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Nah, Clinton is a slippery spiv in hock to big business, about as "establishment" as you can get, and a very divisive figure, but she has also been Governor of New York and Secretary of State, she knows how to play the game.

There's also overwhelming evidence of Trump slagging off and insulting women and ethnic minorities, he's been bankrupt and ripped people off.  There's plenty of shit to get Trump with and he's stupid enough to double down on it.  Clinton will also most likely have fully formed policy positions, while Trump will just shout shit - like building a wall on the Mexico border.

There's still like 45% of people on each side in the US who won't vote the other way, so it won't be a landslide, but Clinton will win fairly easily.

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One candidate who represents everything that's wrong with Washington politics against a candidate who represents everything that's wrong with society. Quite an election to look forward to, eh?

 

I think the Clinton supporters' fears that nothing sticks to Trump is very real. Americans have lost faith both in the political system and the mainstream media, so why on earth would they believe a political commercial paid by Goldman Sachs who tells them Trump is a bad person?

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Trump not quite having it all his own way on Super Tuesday, with Rubio winning one state, and Cruz winning two and narrowly ahead of Trump in the count in Aslaska which hasn't called yet.

 

He disappointed slightly (Trump), hoped for 225, got roughly 195 delegates from latest counts. He's vinning Florida (99 delegates) and it's even against Kasich in Ohio. Should he win both he'll be very hard to avoid for the GOP.

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Trump not quite having it all his own way on Super Tuesday, with Rubio winning one state, and Cruz winning two and narrowly ahead of Trump in the count in Aslaska which hasn't called yet.

Don't know a great deal about the workings of the American political system but from a laymans' viewpoint hes's just not going away, all manner of experts have been snorting derision at his chances from day one but from what I can make out he seems to be in with a real shout. Scary stuff.

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Don't know a great deal about the workings of the American political system but from a laymans' viewpoint hes's just not going away, all manner of experts have been snorting derision at his chances from day one but from what I can make out he seems to be in with a real shout. Scary stuff.

If the potential outcome wasn't so troubling the whole exercise would be fascinating. He's certainly got some momentum behind him. The fact Rubio may not be able to deliver on his home ground of Florida shows just how much Trump is resonating. The problem is that he's resonating with the crazies.

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Rubio is polling 20 points behind Trump in Florida, no chance is he taking 20 points on Trump in 13 days.

 

Florida being a winner-takes-all state means 99 delegates for Trump. 

 

The real question is if he can overtake Kasich in Ohio, another winner-takes-all state with 65 delegates. Kasich has a narrow lead at the moment.

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If the potential outcome wasn't so troubling the whole exercise would be fascinating. He's certainly got some momentum behind him. The fact Rubio may not be able to deliver on his home ground of Florida shows just how much Trump is resonating. The problem is that he's resonating with the crazies.

 

The real problem is not that he's resonating with the crazies, Americans have always had fringe candidates that resonated with the crazies and then went away by January.  

 

The real problem is that there are way, WAY more crazies than anyone thought voting in this election.

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What is he skilled at? His pressers make very little sense and contain very basic rhetoric.

 

He's very skilled at getting attention and he's smart enough to realize that there is value in grabbing the spotlight even with negative attention in this election. And he's very good at taking advantage from the electorate's anger with a failed system where the 1% richest can basically buy the election (which is what will happen if Hillary becomes president). His competitors have more or less been competing for the party elite/party donors thus far. It shouldn't come as a surprise that there is a market for his campaign in the electorate.

 

It's more or less the same that's happening in the democratic party, where an unlikely candidate as Bernie Sanders does quite well. If Sanders had been a celebrity, black/hispanic and/or a bit more outrageous he'd have a fair chance at beating Hillary as a socialist - in the US.

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By the way, I'm going to go ahead and predict that if Trump is the nominee (and it looks very much like he will be) one of the third-party candidates (Conservative? Libertarian? Constitutional? one of those fringe parties, anyway) is going to take at least 5% of the vote, maybe over 10% if it's someone credible.  

 

Trump will get absolutely crushed by Clinton.  I have a lot of Republican friends and I haven't talked to a single one of them who will vote for Trump if he ends up being the Republican nominee.  This article in Slate has a series of interviews with GOP voters and at least half of them say they won't vote for Trump.  Or read this article by Rick Wilson, a top Republican campaign strategist, called With God As My Witness, I Will Never Vote for Donald Trump.

 

You can take my predictions with a grain of salt, seeing as I was on here saying months ago that Donald had zero chance of winning the Republican nomination, but I'm still very confident that he'll never be president.  I'd be shocked if he got more than 40% of the vote in the general if he runs against Hillary.

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