Coronavirus

[General Dryness]

32 minutes ago, clangers said:

We haven't got a hope of restricting it as the Chinese apparently have. We're far too much of an individualistic and economically driven society.

We're also probably not as willing to highlight instructions using bullet points.

 

With actual bullets.

[cloggypop]

[Davelfc]

22 minutes ago, cloggypop said:

They should be, considering the shit behind the wheel. 

[Spy Bee]

1 hour ago, clangers said:

We haven't got a hope of restricting it as the Chinese apparently have. We're far too much of an individualistic and economically driven society.

 

Reading about the exponential growth of this virus last night, no idea if it's true, but at the moment it's doubling in number every 6 days. If it sticks with that growth rate we'll have a million people with the virus by the beginning of May in the UK alone. 10% of those will require hospitalisation and 5% will need critical care.

Even if the numbers are wrong on this, they're not far off and this is what we are currently looking at. 10% of those infected in Italy needed a ventilator. NB. We don't have 100,000 ventilators in the UK.

 

I think many people are still sleeping on this.

[Davelfc]

 

 

 

[an tha]

That owner of Accrington Stanley is a prick.

 

https://www.bbc.co.uk/sport/51777154

[SasaS]

2 hours ago, clangers said:

We haven't got a hope of restricting it as the Chinese apparently have. We're far too much of an individualistic and economically driven society.

 

Reading about the exponential growth of this virus last night, no idea if it's true, but at the moment it's doubling in number every 6 days. If it sticks with that growth rate we'll have a million people with the virus by the beginning of May in the UK alone. 10% of those will require hospitalisation and 5% will need critical care.

 

What does it mean, it's doubling in numbers every six days? It isn't.

[Spy Bee]

15 minutes ago, SasaS said:

 

What does it mean, it's doubling in numbers every six days? It isn't.

Yep, so if ten people have it now, in 6 days 20 people have it.

[Spy Bee]

 

A little ancillary issue here, but crude oil is trading at $39 per barrel... wasn't petrol cheaper than it is now when it was trading at $100 per barrel?

[SasaS]

7 minutes ago, Spy Bee said:

Yep, so if ten people have it now, in 6 days 20 people have it.

Where? it's either faster and slower than that.

[clangers]

24 minutes ago, SasaS said:

 

What does it mean, it's doubling in numbers every six days? It isn't.

That was my reaction hence why I said I don't know it's true however in the UK at the moment it's doubling roughly every three days but that is a relatively small sample size. In Italy as an example there were 2502 reported cases on March 2nd by March 8th there were 7375. Both countries are more than doubling the number in 6 days. The average taking into account S Korea which has slowed and the US where they're not yet testing properly is a doubling in the number of cases every 6 days.

[Spy Bee]

https://www.geekwire.com/2020/genetic-analysis-suggests-coronavirus-infections-double-every-six-days-spreading-hundreds/

[SasaS]

But how can you calculate this, there are different countries with different containment strategies?

[JohnnyH]

6 minutes ago, SasaS said:

But how can you calculate this, there are different countries with different containment strategies?

The Netherlands had 128 cases on March 6th and had 265 cases 2 days later on March 8th (My wife is heading there for work tomorrow so we were looking) so I'm not sure how that "doubles every 6 days" thing stacks up?  Statisticians have a funny way of calculating stuff though.

[Spy Bee]

It's doubling pretty fucking fast whichever way you look at it and I think only China seems to have any success at containment... so they say.

[cloggypop]

4 minutes ago, JohnnyH said:

The Netherlands had 128 cases on March 6th and had 265 cases 2 days later on March 8th (My wife is heading there for work tomorrow so we were looking) so I'm not sure how that "doubles every 6 days" thing stacks up?  Statisticians have a funny way of calculating stuff though.

I haven't died yet so she should be alright. 

[SasaS]

It will grow until that day in April, that beautiful day, as Trump promised.

[TheHowieLama]

1 minute ago, SasaS said:

It will grow until that day in April, that beautiful day, as Trump promised.

You mean the first?

[Sugar Ape]

https://www.theguardian.com/world/2020/mar/09/tourist-sites-asia-hit-coronavirus-fears-before-after-pictures?CMP=Share_iOSApp_Other

[JohnnyH]

3 minutes ago, cloggypop said:

I haven't died yet so she should be alright. 

Are you sure?  This could be heaven.

[JohnnyH]

3 minutes ago, Sugar Ape said:

https://www.theguardian.com/world/2020/mar/09/tourist-sites-asia-hit-coronavirus-fears-before-after-pictures?CMP=Share_iOSApp_Other

I keep swiping back and forth removing/adding people like some kind of a God.  

[cloggypop]

6 minutes ago, JohnnyH said:

Are you sure?  This could be heaven.

We wouldn't have lost to Watford. 

[SasaS]

Italian prisoners our all rioting because they won't have visits for a couple of weeks, during the major epidemic. Life must be tough in Italian prisons.

Iran on the other hand, released 70,000 prisoners in an effort to contain the epidemic. Shouldn't keeping people locked up help these efforts?

It's all so very confusing.

 

[Spy Bee]

38 minutes ago, Sugar Ape said:

https://www.theguardian.com/world/2020/mar/09/tourist-sites-asia-hit-coronavirus-fears-before-after-pictures?CMP=Share_iOSApp_Other

Wow, this is kind of like looking at my social life before and after kids!

[Davelfc]

38 minutes ago, cloggypop said:

We wouldn't have lost to Watford. 

If it means we win it at Goodison, or win it against Palace and City have to give us a guard of honour I'd say it's pretty close. 

 

Obviously I'm talking about the world conker championships.