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Coronavirus

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19 minutes ago, Anubis said:

 

 

At least  man was gonna go straight home, sit in his boxers all day, getting stoned,  playing assassins Creed. 

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Just now, 1892-LFCWasBorn said:

812 new deaths in Italy. Was 756 yesterday and 889 the day before.

Yeah but what was the median amount in the last 13 days and also how is it trending with Nepal? Do they have buses in Nepal? Whatever mate forget it 

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Fucking Hell it's got bad now. They've put that cunt Dominic Fucking Rabb out to give the update. 

 

Tommow till probably be that American preacher further up in this thread.

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1 minute ago, Gnasher said:

Fucking Hell it's got bad now. They've put that cunt Dominic Fucking Rabb out to give the update. 

 

Tommow till probably be that American preacher further up in this thread.

Rabb is the designated survivor.

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5 minutes ago, 1892-LFCWasBorn said:

812 new deaths in Italy. Was 756 yesterday and 889 the day before.

Also, the lowest number of new cases in almost 2 weeks and highest number of recoveries.

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8 minutes ago, Anubis said:

Rabb is the designated survivor.

I'd be more reassured if they wheeled out that American preacher who can zap the virus dead with the power of your God and your 10 dollars.

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4 minutes ago, 1892-LFCWasBorn said:

What the fuck? He's referring to slides that no one can see.

 

Only we can fuck up a press conference.

 

Precious Laura get the first question again.

Dont dare slag Laura. You’ll be called anti-Semitic 

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From Reddit:

 

For people that might have missed it Patrick was talking about the R0 (R Zero) value. This is the basic Reproduction number in simple terms how fast it is spreading. The basis is if the number is more than 1 the virus is spreading and growing in size. The typical value of coronavirus is 3.5. That is for every case of it they will spread it to 3.5 other people.

 

In order for the virus to decrease and stop spreading that value has to be below 1. The example is if you have 100 people and it is 3.50 that is 350 people it pass to. If it is .90 that means 100 people will in the next cycle only 90 people will have it so have 10 less cases.

 

The fact he said the R0 was heading towards 1 means the cases are slowing down. It is important cases lag 7 days behind and deaths can be 11-20 days behind. So they will take some time to follow the R0 tend.

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8 minutes ago, %%% said:

From Reddit:

 

For people that might have missed it Patrick was talking about the R0 (R Zero) value. This is the basic Reproduction number in simple terms how fast it is spreading. The basis is if the number is more than 1 the virus is spreading and growing in size. The typical value of coronavirus is 3.5. That is for every case of it they will spread it to 3.5 other people.

 

In order for the virus to decrease and stop spreading that value has to be below 1. The example is if you have 100 people and it is 3.50 that is 350 people it pass to. If it is .90 that means 100 people will in the next cycle only 90 people will have it so have 10 less cases.

 

The fact he said the R0 was heading towards 1 means the cases are slowing down. It is important cases lag 7 days behind and deaths can be 11-20 days behind. So they will take some time to follow the R0 tend.

Interesting. If its heading towards 1 i see little reason why we can't aim at getting our services back up and running in a few weeks.

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2 minutes ago, Gnasher said:

Interesting. If its heading towards 1 i see little reason why we can't aim at getting our services back up and running in a few weeks.

Well, it'll shoot back above one if we do that. It needs to be done slowly and carefully, probably with further 2-3 week lockdown periods to make sure it doesn't get out of hand. It's far too early to say we're out of danger, we're likely not even nearly at the end of the beginning.

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Maybe interest some of you with kids during this shit. 

 

 

Screenshot_20200330_181437_com.android.chrome.jpg

Screenshot_20200330_181447_com.android.chrome.jpg

Screenshot_20200330_181513_com.android.chrome.jpg

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2 minutes ago, Gnasher said:

Interesting. If its heading towards 1 i see little reason why we can't aim at getting our services back up and running in a few weeks.

Over 2 million children at risk because of the ramifications of the virus says the children's commissioner.

 

 

https://www.theguardian.com/society/2020/mar/25/coronavirus-puts-vulnerable-uk-children-greater-risk-campaigners-warn

 

Talk of doctors giving respiratory help to only those with the best chance of survival shouldn't we ask difficult questions of ourselves?  

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4 minutes ago, TheHowieLama said:

What is the R0 number for the flu?

https://sph.umich.edu/pursuit/2020posts/how-scientists-quantify-outbreaks.html

 

Depends on where it occurs, I guess, I'd imagine the higher R0 figures are for more densely populated areas. Measles is a right cunt.

 

DISEASE REPRODUCTION NUMBER R0
Ebola, 2014 1.51 to 2.53
H1N1 Influenza, 2009 1.46 to 1.48
Seasonal Influenza 0.9 to 2.1
Measles 12 to 18
MERS around 1
Polio 5 to 7
SARS <1 to 2.75
Smallpox 5 to 7
SARS-CoV-2 (causes COVID-19) 1.5 to 3.5

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5 minutes ago, Mudface said:

Well, it'll shoot back above one if we do that. It needs to be done slowly and carefully, probably with further 2-3 week lockdown periods to make sure it doesn't get out of hand. It's far too early to say we're out of danger, we're likely not even nearly at the end of the beginning.

Yeah fair point but we have got to start looking at the the permanent damage that can be caused by letting this strangle vital services for longer than necessary. 

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20 minutes ago, %%% said:

From Reddit:

 

For people that might have missed it Patrick was talking about the R0 (R Zero) value. This is the basic Reproduction number in simple terms how fast it is spreading. The basis is if the number is more than 1 the virus is spreading and growing in size. The typical value of coronavirus is 3.5. That is for every case of it they will spread it to 3.5 other people.

 

In order for the virus to decrease and stop spreading that value has to be below 1. The example is if you have 100 people and it is 3.50 that is 350 people it pass to. If it is .90 that means 100 people will in the next cycle only 90 people will have it so have 10 less cases.

 

The fact he said the R0 was heading towards 1 means the cases are slowing down. It is important cases lag 7 days behind and deaths can be 11-20 days behind. So they will take some time to follow the R0 tend.

Funny, I was watching Contagion the other night and Kate Winslet's character mentioned the R0 number. I think they said it was 1.5-2 flu.

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Just heard that one of my best mates is in intensive care at the JR in Oxford. His sister says he's got 2 days to respond to treatment or it's over. He's 41 with an 10 year old daughter

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Just now, mattyq said:

Just heard that one of my best mates is in intensive care at the JR in Oxford. His sister says he's got 2 days to respond to treatment or it's over. He's 41 with an 10 year old daughter

Jesus wept, that's horrendous!

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