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Coronavirus

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1 hour ago, Doctor Troy said:

It's ok lads, we're all safe now

 

This type of thing would be hilarious if that guy and other TV evangelists weren't multi-millionaires. A huge amount of people actually believe in people like him and send them money. 

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34 minutes ago, TK421 said:

There's nothing to suggest other EU countries won't be overrun.  Lots of medical professionals in the UK are pleading for people to stay indoors, warning that we're next. 

 

It's self-evident that the numbers won't stay as they are now. Good planning and preparation has been found lacking. 

 

Yeah I know. It's all doom and gloom and it will only get worse unless... what?

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17 minutes ago, SasaS said:

 

Yeah I know. It's all doom and gloom and it will only get worse unless... what?

 

 

Everyone wears a mask. 

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5 minutes ago, Doctor Troy said:

Yeah. 209 the day before. Still not good though.

I see this as really fucking good. Where deaths are growing exponentially at this stage normally, any kind of reduction, or tempering of that upward curve is great news.

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1 minute ago, Spy Bee said:

I see this as really fucking good. Where deaths are growing exponentially at this stage normally, any kind of reduction, or tempering of that upward curve is great news.

Yeah I agree but not good that people have died though.

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1 minute ago, Doctor Troy said:

Yeah I agree but not good that people have died though.

 

It's not going to go from 250 to 0 in one day.

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The last weeks numbers are...

 

23rd - 54

24th - 87

25th - 43

26th - 113

27th - 181

28th - 260

29th - 209

30th - 180

 

Like the 25th, although better news, 1 day in isolation doesn’t really tell a story. It could be the start of a (hopefully) downwards trend (most likely) an anomaly. 

I saw a report this morning saying the UK was over the worst of it but I doubt that would be true. 

 

When would we start to see the impact of the lockdown? Would that be at the end of the initial 3 weeks?

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7 minutes ago, Scott_M said:

The last weeks numbers are...

 

23rd - 54

24th - 87

25th - 43

26th - 113

27th - 181

28th - 260

29th - 209

30th - 180

 

Like the 25th, although better news, 1 day in isolation doesn’t really tell a story. It could be the start of a (hopefully) downwards trend (most likely) an anomaly. 

I saw a report this morning saying the UK was over the worst of it but I doubt that would be true. 

 

When would we start to see the impact of the lockdown? Would that be at the end of the initial 3 weeks?


I’ve read all kinds of different things. Boris Johnson has tested positive and he’s saying he’ll be out of isolation after a week. I read something from Italy saying that the time between catching the virus and dying can be as much as five weeks. 

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13 minutes ago, Scott_M said:

 

 

When would we start to see the impact of the lockdown? Would that be at the end of the initial 3 weeks?

They reckon up to 14 days incubation period, but that 30 days after getting it is when most people would be critically ill. So the lockdown period would kick in between 14 and 30 days I would guess.

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2 minutes ago, Spy Bee said:

They reckon up to 14 days incubation period, but that 30 days after getting it is when most people would be critically ill. So the lockdown period would kick in between 14 and 30 days I would guess.

Which would suggest the numbers now probably aren't very indicative of anything regarding a prediction about the next few weeks.

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4 minutes ago, Spy Bee said:

They reckon up to 14 days incubation period, but that 30 days after getting it is when most people would be critically ill. So the lockdown period would kick in between 14 and 30 days I would guess.


This lockdown will be at least 6 weeks, won’t it? Probably 9 or 12.

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33 minutes ago, Scott_M said:

The last weeks numbers are...

 

23rd - 54

24th - 87

25th - 43

26th - 113

27th - 181

28th - 260

29th - 209

30th - 180

 

Like the 25th, although better news, 1 day in isolation doesn’t really tell a story. It could be the start of a (hopefully) downwards trend (most likely) an anomaly. 

I saw a report this morning saying the UK was over the worst of it but I doubt that would be true. 

 

When would we start to see the impact of the lockdown? Would that be at the end of the initial 3 weeks?

25th was the result of the change in the recording. Was the deaths only recorded from 9am - 5pm.

 

78 average for both 25th and 26th combined, with a weighting of that on 26th.

 

We won't see a result of the lockdown for another 2 weeks.

 

If you look at both Italy and Spain, their numbers have plateaued to a certain extent. That is itself a small ray of light.

 

The only caveat to all of this is that these number are all recorded deaths at hospitals. How many deaths are not being recorded from people that don't make it hospital?

 

There have been many reports of care homes being completely wiped out in both Spain and Italy. Add to that there have been some families that have chosen not to admit loved ones to hospital as that it means they will never see them again.

 

I know the above extremes are not going to apply to the UK, but there will be a number of unrecorded deaths.

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2 hours ago, TK421 said:

Prof Neil Ferguson is at it again with some more propaganda. Cosy little relationship he has with the Tories. 

 

https://news.sky.com/story/coronavirus-early-signs-outbreak-slowing-in-uk-says-imperial-college-professor-11965624

 

 

He's no Tom Dr William Professor Pike. He's just a pale, shallow imitation.

 

I bet sky couldn't even afford to get him on the cheap bastards.

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