Jump to content
  • Sign up for free and receive a month's subscription

    You are viewing this page as a guest. That means you are either a member who has not logged in, or you have not yet registered with us. Signing up for an account only takes a minute and it means you will no longer see this annoying box! It will also allow you to get involved with our friendly(ish!) community and take part in the discussions on our forums. And because we're feeling generous, if you sign up for a free account we will give you a month's free trial access to our subscriber only content with no obligation to commit. Register an account and then send a private message to @dave u and he'll hook you up with a subscription.

Coronavirus


Bjornebye

Recommended Posts

12 hours ago, johnsusername said:

Everyone in my office was sick this time last year - like half the staff were off. I was sick at the start of the month. Then I was sick over Christmas - I even cancelled a Christmas trip to the pub - now THAT is fucking serious business. 

 

 

There is evidence that it was in Europe in December. I think the latest thoughts are that it originated in October, then spread to Europe in November.

  • Upvote 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

57 minutes ago, Brownie said:

I’m convinced by missus had it in January. She’s the type to just get on with it when she’s ill but she was bed ridden for a couple of days. Have never known her to be like that in the 15 years i’ve known her.

It would make lots of sense of it was here before we thought. Has she had an antibody test? Although I guess it would be too late now. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

4 minutes ago, TheHowieLama said:

Unlees they were attributing deaths to a different cause I doubt it was in Europe in December. This would have been the most virulent strain.

it wouldn't have been big numbers to begin with and as they didn't know about the virus, it seems pretty reasonable they would attribute the death to different causes. it could have been around quite some time before we got any deaths. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

3 minutes ago, Barrington Womble said:

it wouldn't have been big numbers to begin with and as they didn't know about the virus, it seems pretty reasonable they would attribute the death to different causes. it could have been around quite some time before we got any deaths. 

Why wouldn’t it have been big numbers to begin with? 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

11 minutes ago, Rico1304 said:

Why wouldn’t it have been big numbers to begin with? 

because it starts with one person. and they maybe pass it to 2 or 3 (which is what we are told the R rate is) and that is not per day, it is over the 10 days or so of your infection period. So unless there was loads of superspreading (and the R number accounts for that anyway, but with small numbers there could be outliers), it is not unreasonable to assume the numbers were pretty low, maybe even less that 100 by 2020 if it arrive here in early dec 19. Nobody is saying 500 people arrive from wuhan in december and start giving the whole nation christmas kisses. it's just possible it was here. My mates oncologist thinks it's very plausible. And in that case it doesn't seem unreasonable that if deaths came (which seem to be weeks and weeks after its arrival anyway), that the 1st few cases could easily have been attributed to other causes such as flu - especially as deaths mostly occur to people with other underlying issues. 

 

I don't see why you would think it would be anything but small numbers to begin with. 

  • Upvote 2
Link to comment
Share on other sites

We went for one of those lateral flow tests yesterday, both came back negative and very efficient I have to say. As a 40 year old man with irritable bowel syndrome and thinning hair the only downside was having to be around the cast of The Rock. 

 

You got no idea what 'dead-eyes' means until you face these people in your bathrobe and fucking flip-flops.

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

7 minutes ago, Barrington Womble said:

because it starts with one person. and they maybe pass it to 2 or 3 (which is what we are told the R rate is) and that is not per day, it is over the 10 days or so of your infection period. So unless there was loads of superspreading (and the R number accounts for that anyway, but with small numbers there could be outliers), it is not unreasonable to assume the numbers were pretty low, maybe even less that 100 by 2020 if it arrive here in early dec 19. Nobody is saying 500 people arrive from wuhan in december and start giving the whole nation christmas kisses. it's just possible it was here. My mates oncologist thinks it's very plausible. And in that case it doesn't seem unreasonable that if deaths came (which seem to be weeks and weeks after its arrival anyway), that the 1st few cases could easily have been attributed to other causes such as flu - especially as deaths mostly occur to people with other underlying issues. 

 

I don't see why you would think it would be anything but small numbers to begin with. 

I’m not an expert by any means but isn’t it exponential?  Even starting with one person passing it on to 3 people and them to 3 etc etc we very quickly get big numbers.  Your theory seems to assume that it has to hit a critical mass before it explodes. But we didn’t see that in the March did we? Or maybe we did. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

23 minutes ago, 3 Stacks said:

It takes a couple weeks for the spread to grow exponential and then another couple weeks for deaths to start adding up. From zero cases to a bunch of deaths, it would take a while. 

That’s 4 weeks to get big numbers in hospital isn’t it?  
 

I guess it’s the pause from Dec - Mar I don’t understand. 
 

edit; changed jan to mar

Link to comment
Share on other sites

3 hours ago, sir roger said:

i realise that the new tiering vote will almost certainly go through, but what would happen if it didn't, would the country stay in lockdown ?

I hope not because, I dont know if i've mentioned it, I can go to the pub tomorrow night

Link to comment
Share on other sites

3 hours ago, sir roger said:

i realise that the new tiering vote will almost certainly go through, but what would happen if it didn't, would the country stay in lockdown ?

Apparently, we would go back to complete normality with no covid restrictions whatsoever.

  • Upvote 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

3 hours ago, sir roger said:

i realise that the new tiering vote will almost certainly go through, but what would happen if it didn't, would the country stay in lockdown ?

It would be a legal nightmare. Would it go back to how it was before lockdown (i.e. tier system)? Would lockdown resume? Would lockdown shutdown and tier system end, going back to how it was before Covid? Maybe they would have to vote on what would happen if tiers are rejected.

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

15 hours ago, Barrington Womble said:

My mate is pretty sure he had it over Xmas last year. Had all the symptoms and was really ill. And had an antibody test in the spring and confirmed he'd had it. So it was either then or he had been asymptomatic. The specialist that had booked booked his antibody test said he wasn't the 1st possible case he'd come across from 2019. 

I had something early January. It was like the start of a bug, gravelly throat, glands a little tender, but I didn't feel 'ill'.  It lasted about a fortnight,  but whatever it was it didn't seem to develop. 

I've often wondered if that's what it was.

 

I had something similar a couple of months ago when my Lad, his partner and my Grandson had Covid, but again it didn't seem to develop. 

 

I've got a lot of underlying health conditions and I've been shielding basically since March and will continue to do so until I've had the vaccine, but I can't help wondering has it all been unnecessary for me.

 

I don't think I want to find out.

  • Upvote 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

11 minutes ago, Rico1304 said:

In other news I volunteered to donate plasma as the NHS is looking for blokes who’ve had, or suspect they’ve had COVID.  They got back to me today and still need volunteers so take a look on their website and volunteer if you’ve had it.  

Good on you mate.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

13 minutes ago, Rico1304 said:

In other news I volunteered to donate plasma as the NHS is looking for blokes who’ve had, or suspect they’ve had COVID.  They got back to me today and still need volunteers so take a look on their website and volunteer if you’ve had it.  

Exactly the sort of thing that cunts do, this.

 

Good on you.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

14 minutes ago, Rico1304 said:

In other news I volunteered to donate plasma as the NHS is looking for blokes who’ve had, or suspect they’ve had COVID.  They got back to me today and still need volunteers so take a look on their website and volunteer if you’ve had it.  

I can only assume that when you say, donate, you actually mean sell

Link to comment
Share on other sites

43 minutes ago, Rico1304 said:

In other news I volunteered to donate plasma as the NHS is looking for blokes who’ve had, or suspect they’ve had COVID.  They got back to me today and still need volunteers so take a look on their website and volunteer if you’ve had it.  

Good on you, but there's no chance I'm giving them my telly.

  • Upvote 4
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.


×
×
  • Create New...