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General Election 2019

Who are you voting for?   

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  1. 1. Who are you voting for?



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9 minutes ago, Nelly-Torres said:

We just need Apache Indian and One True Voice to publicly back Labour and this is onnnnnnn! 

Genuinely never heard of the cunts.

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Sky News studio getting ready. Interesting to see where they’ve put the Lib Dems.

They obviously know what the Tories will need if they’re slightly short of a majority...

 

 

B0450D2B-5512-4908-9888-9E20B7D080AE.png

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4 hours ago, Spy Bee said:

Could you just get a one inch square dick and balls bang in the middle for your forehead?

 

My money is on a hung parliament. I think Labour and tactical voting will score higher than many predictions.

Hung, but not well hung.

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BBC at it again, this is mental. Originally saw this in nested tweets, just noticed it's Zippy that first tweeted it. Well done Zippy.

 

 

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3 hours ago, Nelly-Torres said:

Dr Moderate has gone in balls deep on either a hung parliament or a Labour minority government. 

 

Come on Dr Moderate. You're our only hope! 

 

Mate!

 

On 09/12/2019 at 11:34, The Woolster said:

I've been looking at some of these polls, and the headline numbers that we see strip out the undecideds. When the undecideds are included the gap between the Tories and Labour is at least a couple of % points closer than the headlines. The undecideds are still fairly large, ranging from about 8% to 15%.

 

Now not all of the undecideds will end up voting, but I believe that undecideds that do vote tend to end up voting Labour, I think that is partly because it is a greater % of women who leave their decision late, and they tend to vote Labour. But also, my guess is that these undecideds are more likely to be tactical voters, so I am hopeful that there will be a closing of that gap.

 

I think the pool are also underweight the youth vote, who we know tend to vote Labour. Including those with the undecideds, I think it could be a couple of % points closer. I thin kwe do need a swing of a couple of points on the headline numbers though, there is a bout a 10% gap, and I think we need to get to about 8% for these missing voters to get us to a hung parliament.

 

With regards to the latest Survation, its got some funky stuff going on with London. London tends to vote Labour, the other polls that I have looked, including the previous Survation poll, at have Labour leading in London as expected, but this latest one has the Tories on 40.9% and Labour on 36.4%. The Survation poll before was 28.5% Conservative, 39.9% Labour. The poll is based off 98 people in London, which is over 10% of the amount polled, so I am not sure if I trust that this latest poll is actually representative. 

 

Having since come across this Dr Moderate guy/gal, i now realised that the Leave vote is overweight in the polls too, so even more benefit to give.

 

I said the I wanted the poll average to come in to at least an 8 point gap, it looks like the average after this evenings releases is about 9%, but with that overweight leave benefit to take into account, it looks to me like a hung parliament too (if this 6% gap requirement is correct).

 

But if the youth vote really does come out in force, well, then who knows what might happen!

 

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6 hours ago, Strontium Dog™ said:

 

Great, except for the fact I just gave an MRP which showed that in October it was close. 

 

Do you expect parties to ignore the best available data or something?


You tried to claim it was a three way race. It never was, never has been and isn’t. That data was bullshit and you know it. 
 

Even if there was a smidgen of truth to it (there isn’t!), why are you claiming the tories can’t win when this MRP poll you quote said it was a three horse race with the tories out in front. 
 

It’s lies and splitting the remain vote, exactly as I said it was in Hazel Grove. 

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5 hours ago, Nelly-Torres said:

We just need Apache Indian and One True Voice to publicly back Labour and this is onnnnnnn! 

Haha! Repped for maybe the first ever mention of Apache Indian on TLW. Never thought I'd see the day.

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1 hour ago, skend04 said:

Haha! Repped for maybe the first ever mention of Apache Indian on TLW. Never thought I'd see the day.

The new style Junglee version was boss when it came out. general was pretty good as well.

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The only issue I have with Dr Moderate is that he/she/they/them/it/whatever has in their Labour minority gov included Lib Dems. There's no way Swindle will accept Corbyn as leader, she's too much of a Tory and would rather see the country go through another full election than accept it I think.

 

Imagine that too. Labour with Corbyn do one thing constantly in elections, and that's catch up to the Tories. If we had another just after crimbo we'd probably pass eventually and end up with a full majority or something. But imagine the levels of propaganda in that election if the media and gov knew they were actually losing. This has been the worst ever, in that situation it'd be even more gone.

 

Swindle would rather see the country go full on North Korea propaganda mode (we're almost there already I suppose, maybe one more nudge for the fun of it) than see Corbyn bring a much needed dose of communism to number 10. She'd rather see the country's reputation in tatters. She should just go and sit with the Tories really.

 

The bird in the Lib Dem logo doesn't represent liberty or whatever it's supposed to be at the moment, it represents Swindle flying off to the Tories whenever Corbyn is doing well to plot something else to keep him and his beard at bay. Hopefully the country will see through it if we end up having yet another election.

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7 hours ago, Strontium Dog™ said:

 

Great, except for the fact I just gave an MRP which showed that in October it was close. 

 

Do you expect parties to ignore the best available data or something?

I think most people naively expect parties to be honest with them. 

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Just been and voted, I voted labour for the party rather than the MP (although to be fair in one respect - he’s very pro remain). 
 

I’d been hoping like fuck for a hung parliament but last nights full moon has convinced me it will be a comfortable tory majority, probably around 15-18 seats. 

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My constituency includes the Scilly Isles so is usually the last result in, only 300 betwen lib dem and tories. Seeing as it could be the one to tip the balance i'm going up the polling station in a bit with a "vote for sale" badge on. 

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There are quite a few of these appearing, mentioning massive queues at polling stations. Tenuous, but a heavy turnout would be good for Labour I think.

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3 minutes ago, A Red said:

My constituency includes the Scilly Isles so is usually the last result in, only 300 betwen lib dem and tories. Seeing as it could be the one to tip the balance i'm going up the polling station in a bit with a "vote for sale" badge on. 

Come on A Red, SD will rep you for life if you vote Lib Dem.

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12 minutes ago, Bobby Hundreds said:

More chance of me fucking Kelly brook than the Tories not getting a majority.

You're in for a hell of a 20 seconds if it's hung parliament!

 

That includes the post-coital cigarette obviously!

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20 minutes ago, Mudface said:

 

 

There are quite a few of these appearing, mentioning massive queues at polling stations. Tenuous, but a heavy turnout would be good for Labour I think.

Depends how much of that heavy turnout is the brexit mong vote, especially in Labour held 'leave' areas.

Turnout in a lot of those areas was higher in the EU referendum than it was in elections usually and if the 'Get Brexit Done' brigade come out in force in these areas it is bad news for Labour.

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